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Elgeyo Marakwet Landslide Dashboard

Google Earth Engine Hazard Mapping Predictive Modelling Disaster Risk

Elgeyo Marakwet Landslide Dashboard


Overview

A Google Earth Engine (GEE) application combining past damage mapping with predictive future risk classification for landslides in Elgeyo Marakwet County, Kenya — a county whose dramatic Kerio Valley escarpment makes it one of the most landslide-prone regions in East Africa.

The dashboard lets users toggle between a historical view of the November 2025 disaster and a predictive risk map classifying every pixel of the county's terrain into four risk classes.


The November 2025 Event

November 2025 Impact

  • Confirmed deaths: 26+
  • Missing: 25
  • Hospitalised: 26+
  • Homes destroyed: 1,000+
  • 19 deaths from a single extended family in Endo Ward

The November 2025 landslides were among the deadliest in Kenya's recent history. The Endo Ward tragedy — where 19 members of one extended family were killed — illustrated how concentrated landslide exposure can be when vulnerable communities live on high-risk slopes without early-warning systems.


What I Built

A dual-mode GEE application with two views:

1. Past Damage (November 2025) Mapping of affected areas using satellite-derived change detection over the escarpment terrain.

2. Predictive: Future Risk A risk classification model producing a four-class risk surface:

Class Risk Level
1 Low
2 Moderate
3 High
4 Extreme

Users can click any location on the map to inspect its risk class — enabling ward-level planning conversations.


Tools & Methods

Tool Purpose
Google Earth Engine Cloud-based satellite analysis & app hosting
JavaScript (GEE API) Application logic and UI
DEM / slope analysis Terrain susceptibility inputs
Satellite imagery Pre/post-disaster change detection
Kenya administrative boundaries County and ward overlays

Why This Matters

Kenya lacks a systematic, publicly accessible landslide early-warning system. This dashboard demonstrates that GEE can power near-real-time risk tools that don't require local server infrastructure — making them viable for county disaster management offices with limited IT capacity.


Year

2025 – 2026